Integral senior care

Institution and community senior care

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Institution and community senior care

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Health Care
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Health Care Providers
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
10% - 15% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
> USD 1 billion
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
No Poverty (SDG 1) Good health and well-being (SDG 3)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10) Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11) Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9)

Business Model Description

Professional training for nursing staff includes educational agencies offering professional courses and caregiver agencies that introduce professional senior care staff to families. The educational agencies need to cooperate with senior care institutions and caregiver agencies to dispatch certified nursing staff effectively.

Expected Impact

Meet the increasing need of elderly care caused by the aging trend in China, improve the quality of senior care.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

Disclaimer

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • China: Anhui
  • China: Jiangxi
  • China: Fujian
  • China: Yunnan
  • China: Guangdong
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Health Care

Development need
China’s health sector currently still faces many challenges, including weak capacity of grass-roots service providers, imbalanced development and resources distribution between rural and urban areas in health sector and accelerated aging trend.

Policy priority
The Action Plan for Promoting the Quality of Health Industry Development (2019-2022) focused on leveraging digital technology in the health care sector. On the back of COVID-19, the National Health Commission published a notice requiring the Health Commissions in all provinces to build Internet-based platforms for controlling and preventing COVID-19 as general healthcare

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
(1) Medical Financial Assistance (MFA) scheme in China did not offer adequate financial protection for marginalized people. (2) Women may be at risk or at greater risk of infection due to occupational gender segregation.

Investment opportunities introduction
The tageted subregions have low economic input in the healthcare sector, yet policy focus in this area is relatively strong. This indicates that the demand for better healthcare services and the need for further investment is high.

Key bottlenecks introduction
The shortage of medical talents in quantity and poor quality structure is the bottleneck that restricts the development of China's healthcare industry.

Sub Sector

Health Care Providers

Development need
the rapid aging trend challenges healthcare delivery; access to nursing homes remains limited; there are significant regional disparities in the distribution of health resources; around 75% of older people suffer from noncommunicable chronic diseases; the demand gap of radiologists is increasing; the cure rate of early detection of cancer is low

Policy priority
China has made significant policy efforts to improve healthcare delivery. A national action plan (2018) was issued by the National Health and Family Planning Commission, planing to make diagnosis and treatment more convenient; gradually form a new system of medical services based on regional coordination, information sharing and service integration,.

Investment opportunities introduction
the 6 IOAs with the highest growth potential were shortlisted:internet healthcare, smart information systems in hospitals, Independent Clinical Laboratories (ICL),Medical imaging based on Artificial Intelligence technology, Smart home-use medical devices for chronic disease management,Senior care.

Industry

Health Care Delivery

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Institution and community senior care

Business Model

Professional training for nursing staff includes educational agencies offering professional courses and caregiver agencies that introduce professional senior care staff to families. The educational agencies need to cooperate with senior care institutions and caregiver agencies to dispatch certified nursing staff effectively.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

> USD 1 billion

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

20% - 25%

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

The market was worth USD 1.06 trillion in 2019.

Source: iiMedia Research

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

10% - 15%

Taikang: the average profit margin is between 6% and 10%.

Most of the pension institutions in Japan are profitable, with an average rate of return of about 20%.

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Interview states: It usually takes 6-8 years for a project from site selection, development to occupancy, and more than 20 years to achieve full balance of revenue and expenditure.

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Business - Business Model Unproven

China’s elderly care industry is still in its infancy and lacks human resources in terms of management personnel and professional care givers. The professionalisation of senior care nursing staff has not been proactively promoted by the government. (Nayoung Zheng, STIA).

Business - Business Model Unproven

Improving the affordability of home care remains a key challenge in China. The government is currently promoting nursing insurance targeted at the aging population (Jinda Gao, Qiming Venture Partner)

Business - Business Model Unproven

Improving the profitability of community senior care centers and attracting more private equity is a significant problem because this is a heavy-asset sector. At present, the subsidies granted by the government can be insufficient to cover the operation costs. (Yunfei Chai GoHigh Fund).

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

China currently has 176 million people that are 65 or older, accounting for 12.6% of total population. According to World Population Prospects, the ratio are estimated to reach 14% by 2025 and 26% by 2050. The rapid aging trend create challenges for public services delivery.

Access to commercial and community-based nursing homes remains limited. As of 2016, 96% of elderly people were cared for by their family members at home, which can cause significant social and economic pressure.

Gender & Marginalisation

Rapid aging has limited access to nursing homes and many elderly people can not get senior care.

Expected Development Outcome

The professionalisation of staff can facilitate access to and improve the quality of senior care.

It will help meet the expanding and increasingly diversified needs for elderly people.

Gender & Marginalisation

The emergence of institution and community senior care has given more elderly people the opportunity to receive services and solved the serious problems caused by population aging.

Primary SDGs addressed

No Poverty (SDG 1)
1 - No Poverty

3.8.1 Coverage of essential health services

Good health and well-being (SDG 3)
3 - Good Health and Well-Being

3.8.2 Proportion of population with large household expenditures on health as a share of total household expenditure or income

3.8.1 Coverage of essential health services

3.b.3 Proportion of health facilities that have a core set of relevant essential medicines available and affordable on a sustainable basis

Secondary SDGs addressed

10 - Reduced Inequalities
11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

The elderly will be able to recieve quality elderly care and health services

Corporates

A range of companies related to senior services such as construction, home care, and medical care benefiting from profitable and regulated markets

Public sector

Senior social insurance related department benefiting from reduced pressure on senior care and enhanced public service capcity

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

A more inclusive care and support system for the elderly in China will also help free the caring burden from their children

Planet

Centralized, regulated and eco-friendly senior communities are conducive to urban planning and environmental protection

Outcome Risks

Long investment timeframe, low profit margin and changable policy and subsidies will make the investment not achieve the expectation.

Impact Risks

Senior care facilities may attract conflicts in the communities they locate. There could be complains around these facilities for occupying public spaces and giving rise to higher rents.

Impact Classification

C—Contribute to Solutions

What

The outcome is very likely to be positive, important, long-term and large-scale because the investment can greatly solve the severe aging population problem in China.

Risk

Long investment timeframe, low profit margin and changable policy and subsidies will make the investment not achieve the expectation.

Impact Thesis

Meet the increasing need of elderly care caused by the aging trend in China, improve the quality of senior care.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

(Policy document): In February 2017, the Ministry of Civil Affairs published a notice urging the simplification of approval procedures for senior care institution and encouraging the establishment of new senior care facilities as well as pension investment funds.

In Feb 2017, the State Council issued guidelines for the development of the elderly care sector during the 13th five-year-plan. These guidelines state that home senior care should be regarded as the base, community senior care as support, and institutional senior care as supplement.

An annual pilot demonstrations of smart senior care enterprises have been carried out jointly by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Civil Affairs, and the National Health Commission.Chinese government is to solve and relieve the problem of aging population.

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: the State Council is encouraging provincial governments to support private elderly care homes through fiscal measures such as providing loan discounts and subsidising investments and operations.

Fiscal incentives: Senior care services provided by senior care institutions are exempt from VAT. Income obtained from senior care services NGOs are temporarily exempted from enterprise income tax. Senior care institutions are temporarily exempted from property tax and land use tax.

Regulatory Environment

In November 2019, the Ministry of Civil Affairs announced new penal measures for dishonesty in the senior care service market as well as safety standards for pension institutions.

(Regulation): The regulation of senior care is strict

Marketplace Participants

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Private Sector

Other common co-investors include insurance companies and real estate giants. They possess the necessary capital, clients and experience in building senior care community.

Government

Government guidance funds and special funds often serve as co-investors in the elderly care sector.

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map

China: Anhui

Provincial policies are aligned with the national policy: improving the level of healthcare delivery and trying to surpass the national average metrics in different subfields.

China: Jiangxi

Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) is a key focus area. The provincial government is trying to develop Zhangshu City into a TCM capital.

China: Fujian

Senior care is a key focus area. The provincial government has also invested into the construction of a big data centre for regional healthcare.

China: Yunnan

The provincial government is investing into physical infrastructure, such as constructing a regional medical centre for cardiovascular diseases.

China: Guangdong

The provincial government is focusing on the development of Internet healthcare and applications of big data.

References

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